Ask A Genius 1270: Early Trump Administration
Author(s): Rick Rosner and Scott Douglas Jacobsen
Publication (Outlet/Website): Ask A Genius
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2025/02/15
Rick Rosner: It’s worth noting that in the United States, tragic events occur regularly—consider school shootings, for example. While mass casualty events like these are not everyday occurrences, they generate significant social and political fallout. According to the Associated Press, large-scale air disasters are rare in the U.S., making incidents like this particularly impactful.
Trump is currently in a honeymoon phase, as every president experiences at the beginning of their term. His first-term honeymoon phase was undermined early by disputes over his inauguration crowd size, which quickly soured initial goodwill. His approval rating may remain steadier this time because his supporters have been exposed to sustained political messaging and may be less responsive to criticisms of his behavior. While his net approval has fluctuated slightly, his overall approval rating has remained within a narrow range. In his first term, his approval was relatively stable around 40%, but this time he may hold a solid 45%—even if his rhetoric remains polarizing.
This air disaster is the deadliest in the U.S. in over 20 years. In the wake of the crash, various theories and political narratives have emerged. On social media, some speculated about potential foul play, including claims about remote interference with the aircraft or terrorism, while others dismissed such theories. At the same time, some commentators pointed to changes in aviation oversight, including previous removals of key officials in the TSA and FAA, and staffing shortages in air traffic control. However, there is currently no confirmed link between these policy decisions and the incident.
The causes of the collision—whether due to equipment malfunctions, pilot miscommunication, or outdated technology in air traffic control—are still under investigation. It is important to distinguish between confirmed facts, such as the number of casualties and aircraft involved, and politically charged interpretations. The evolving narratives around this event will likely shape broader discussions on aviation safety and political accountability. As more information emerges, we will need to track how these discussions influence public opinion and policy responses.
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