1559: Kyrylo Budanov Quotes 2022–2025: Breaking-Point Forecasts, Crimea by Summer, and North Korea’s Ammunition Lifeline to Russia
Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen
Publication (Outlet/Website): Medium (Personal)
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2025/10/21
How do Budanov’s 2022–2025 statements — from predicting a mid-August turning point and a Kremlin coup to asserting Pyongyang supplies half of Russia’s shells — stack up against events, and what do they signal about Ukraine’s security outlook?
2022: “The breaking point will be in the second part of August.”
2022: “A coup to remove Vladimir Putin is already under way.”
2023: “We must do everything to ensure that Crimea returns home by summer.”
2024: “They supply huge amounts of artillery ammunition, which is critical for Russia.” (on North Korean aid to Moscow)
2025: “North Korea is providing 50% of Russia’s ammunition needs at the front.”
2025: “An absolutely peaceful and threat-free life in the coming years is unlikely.”
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