Ask A Genius 843: Trump Needs Legal Assassins
Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner
Publication (Outlet/Website): Ask A Genius
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2023/06/17
[Recording Start]
Rick Rosner: Trump has been federally indicted now. He was indicted a month or two ago on state charges in New York for a campaign finance violations and maybe money laundering involving the 130,000 dollar hush money payment to porn stars Stormy Daniels who he had sex with. So that’s 34 charges on that and he just got hit with 37 federal charges for holding on to classified documents. The set of indictments looks really strong because Trump is a defiant idiot and he didn’t do anything to cover his butt with these documents. He held on to them like a baby for no good reason unless the good reason is he was selling secrets to our foreign adversaries. We don’t know if that’ll be revealed at trial but mostly he held on to the documents because he thought he could and because he’s a greedy fucking idiot. People are saying that the Department of Justice does not indict anybody if it’s going to lose.
So I looked up the statistics and found him for 2018. In 2018, the DOJ indicted 79,000 people and only 320 of them, less than one half of one percent went to trial and were found not guilty. Eight percent have their cases dismissed, I don’t know how that works, but 90% percent did a plea bargain; pled guilty. Eight percent had cases dismissed, two percent went to trial and of that two percent, 83% were found guilty. So yeah, the justice department doesn’t lose and this case looks particularly strong.
There are still two more venues in which Trump is expected to be indicted; in Georgia for election tampering and federal charges again for his actions again around trying to thwart the results of the 2020 presidential election. Some people have said, people I believe, that these strong early charges were brought; these federal charges were brought now with nearly a year and a half to go before the 2024 general election because they’re highly prove-able that the odds of the justice department winning their case and winning it fairly quickly are fairly high even though the case was assigned to a very Trumpy judge, a very trumpy and probably incompetent judge who’s only spent 14 days in her entire judge career trying Federal cases. So, A) incompetent and B) proven to be biased in favor of Trump, but the case is so strong that I guess the DOJ thinks they will win anyhow.
They brought this case early because it’s strong and winnable and will get Trump. Trump needs to be in legal trouble before he gets to swat further indictments away because he can claim that he’s deep in his campaign for the presidency because if he swats everything away or gets it put off long enough he could get himself elected president and shut down any investigation and or pardon himself. So I guess the DOJ wants to get a guilty verdict in before he’s the Republican candidate for the presidency in which that candidate will be named in about June of next year. There are a bunch of Republicans, almost all of them creepy and loathsome, who are piling into the race thinking that Trump will eventually be indicted so much more or found guilty and will somehow be forced to drop out of the election.
So all these candidates are piling in. People don’t like them very much. Republicans still favor Trump 53% to the 21% for DeSantis with nobody else above five percent among Republicans. Among everybody else, everybody else is like fuck you to all of these assholes for the most part. So my dream outcome and there’s a possibility it’ll happen, I think I’ve said this before is that Trump wants to keep running even if he has no chance to get elected, A) because he’s pretty dumb and may think he has a chance and B) he did have a chance even when he didn’t have a chance in 2016, and C) he can pull in tens of millions of dollars from his tens of millions of suckers every month in campaign contributions. So he wants to keep the money spigot going as long as possible.
So I’m hoping that he gets denied the Republican nomination but runs third party so that Republican votes are split similarly to 1992 when Ross Perot was one of the most successful third-party candidates in the past century and got like 13% of the vote, maybe even 15% of the vote and Bill Clinton won in a very strong victory even though he only got something like 42-45% of the vote because George Bush got under 30% of the vote because of Perot and I guess some others scattered ridiculous third-party candidates. So if Trump runs third party, it could lead to a bloodbath for Republicans of which every reasonable American hopes for because the Republicans no longer represent what Americans want, having been captured entirely by the big money donors.
[Recording End]
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