Ask A Genius 415 – 2100 to Infinity
Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner
Publication (Outlet/Website): Ask A Genius
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2018/10/17
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Scott Douglas Jacobsen: So, it is an extrapolation to 2100. China will lose about 33% of the current 1.5 billion population. India will continue to grow but taper off as development happens, life gets better, and life gets more precious, and so on.
Rick Rosner: Yes, it is the curve. As people experience less mortality, they have fewer kids.
Jacobsen: One is the empowerment of women. It is a catch-all of women having more say in their lives.
Rosner: In brutal terms, India is still a super rapey country. It will address a lot of women’s empowerment issues.
Jacobsen: In Nigeria, they have, like most African countries, more births per woman, more deaths per woman, and so on. It is more infant deaths and maternal deaths.
Rosner: You can probably expect more technological access for Africa now with Wakanda.
Jacobsen: With Wakanda, it may act as a release valve for refugees in Africa from war-torn areas.
Actually, I did two interviews with two atheists who stopped believing in Burundi. It was having political strife. They fled to Nigeria or Kenya. I got their stories. They stopped believing in their faith.
Rosner: If African as a continent gets its shit together, it can be a huge amount of human capital.
Jacobsen: One aspect is recovering from colonialism. Another is stopping focusing on grievance politics about colonialism. It is valid to get some form of acknowledgment and boost post-colonial context from the globe and forgiveness from the other country.
But a grievance politics about the past will not allow, in the long term, countries to move forward. I hear both arguments and see validity in each.
Rosner: A positive erosive trend is the accessibility of technology, so people who are sufficiently motivated and intrepid and ingenious can reap benefits from worldwide technology – even when their country is going batshit.
I think that will continue to be a trend. It will be an eroding of nationalism as the more talented people sidestep their local politics or national politics to engage in worldwide thought commerce.
Jacobsen: Most tech-savvy people tend to be internationalists.
Rosner: You do not even need to be an internationalist. It is finding talented people wherever they are. If your country is a mess, then you’re looking outside of your country.
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