Ask A Genius 394 – Moore’s Law Running Out of Power
Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner
Publication (Outlet/Website): Ask A Genius
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2018/09/26
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Scott Douglas Jacobsen: What is going to happen to Moore’s Law?
Rick Rosner: Moore’s Law is going to be done in the near-future. You can’t build a transistor that is smaller than an atom. The brain is a product of evolution rather than directed technological development has reached a limit of compactness that is probably much less compact than the most compact circuitry that we could invent.
The brain already hit its own Moore’s Law, the end of its Moore’s Law. Though, the brain has other constraints. One of the main ones being how big can you make the head without killing the mom at birth.
Whether or not we have hit Moore’s Law in human-made circuitry, we are going to hit it in the next 20 years. Further improvements in performance are going to be through more and more efficient ways of organizing the circuitry, I do not know much about computers.
But when people look back on computers of the past 50 years, they will seem primitively straightforward and unspecialized.
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