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Cognitive Thrift 13 – Population

2022-03-21

Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner

Publication (Outlet/Website): Cognitive Thrift

Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2017/05/23

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Scott Douglas Jacobsen: That leads to a population implosion, which seems like the major concern in Japan and Singapore, for instance. 

Rick Rosner: A population implosion is not the worst thing in the world if it’s uniform. What  people worry about is being overwhelmed by – this whole area gets tricky, you want to avoid  racist characterizations, you start getting in the Herrnstein and the other guy, those arguments are  icky and fallacious, and they tend to blame victim for unfortunate economic situations. 

Jacobsen: Our arguments apply across or within the species. It does not matter the nation  or ‘group.’  

If you are wealthier, if you are less religious, if women have more rights, and if you are  more content in general, then your birth rate will be lower and this could lead to issues  around population being below replacement rate. 

Rosner: Yea. Though, being slightly under replacement rate wouldn’t be the worst thing if it  applied to the entire world, the population gradually dropping from 7.3 billion to 7 to 6.5, or  even lower, over a couple generations would buy us some leeway to deal with some of the  problems we’re having with having so many people. 

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