People, Personas, and Politics 23 – The New GerryManderings
Author(s): Scott Douglas Jacobsen and Rick Rosner
Publication (Outlet/Website): People, Personas, and Politics
Publication Date (yyyy/mm/dd): 2017/04/11
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Rick Rosner: For democrats to win back either the Senate or the House, it will take continuing Republican overreach and incompetence for the next, pretty much, 17 months to even have a shot at taking even one of those legislative bodies.
Scott Douglas Jacobsen: Right.
RR: Also, 2020 offers the next chance at large-scale redistricting because redistricting is dependent on results of the 10-year census, which happens in years ending in 0. Not only is 2020 a presidential election year, it is also a census year that offers the possibility of redistricting and now that the democrats should be ‘woke’ about being fucked over by the redistricting of 2010. We’ll see if lawsuits can be brought to stop super-biased redistricting.
But it is going to be tough because Republican legislatures and governors own something like 37 out of 50 states. So we have 2 opportunities. 2018 and 2020 to see if we can get anywhere close to democracy starting to work as it used to work, which was not bad – before the 90s. Also, there’s one more chance for things to turnaround, and that’s if Trump leaves office for before his 4-year term is up.
That’s been look not terrible if you look at the bookie odds. They have been as high as 50-50 for Trump leaving before the end of 4 years. But I don’t know. He just bombed Syria and then the media decided that he looked presidential. He may be able to pull off 4 years and it is not inconceivable that he could get 8 years in which place healing democracy looks like it may not happen until the 2030s if at all.
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